旅游经济、环境规制与入境旅游碳排放

Tourism Economy,Environmental Regulation and Carbon Emissions of Inbound Tourism

文章基于“自上而下”法对2001-2017年中国入境旅游碳排放量进行了估算,通过对IPAT模型和STIRPAT模型的扩展,构建了探究旅游经济、环境规制与入境旅游碳排放关系的固定效应回归模型,并采用全国面板数据展开实证分析,得出以下结论:一是旅游经济与入境旅游碳排放之间呈倒“U”型环境库兹涅茨曲线关系;二是环境规制与入境旅游碳排放呈负相关关系;三是旅游经济增长对入境旅游碳排放的促进作用大于环境规制的抑制作用,环境规制强度增加并未通过抑制旅游经济的增长而减少入境旅游的碳排放。并据研究结果提出环境规制强度需从宏观顶层设计;环境规制方法应多措并举;通过调整能源消耗结构实现对入境旅游碳排放的抑制;积极践行低碳旅游发展模式,走旅游可持续发展道路的对策建议。

By extending the IPAT model and STIRPAT model,this paper constructs a fixed-effect regression model to explore the relationship between tourism economy,environmental regulation and carbon emissions of inbound tourism,and conducts an empirical analysis using the national panel data.The final results show that:There is an inverted U-shaped environmental Kuznets curve relationship between tourism economy and inbound tourism carbon emissions;There is a negative correlation between environmental regulation andcarbon emissions of inbound tourism;The promoting effect of tourism economic growth on carbon emission of inbound tourism is greater than that of environmental regulation.The increasing intensity of environmental regulation does not reduce carbon emissions of inbound tourism by inhibiting the growth of tourism economy.According to the research results,the intensity of environmental regulation should be designed from the macro top level,effective measures should be taken simultaneously to control environment,the carbon emissions of inbound tourism can be restrained by adjusting the energy consumption structure,the low-carbon tourism and sustainable development model should be implemented actively.