中国纺织服装业国际竞争力影响因素的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Factors Affecting the International Competitiveness of China’s textile and Garment Industry

通过现状分析和实证研究,对1999—2018年中国纺织服装业的国际竞争力进行尽可能详细且充分的研究。首先,分析中国纺织服装业竞争力现状以及相关影响因素,具体包括企业单位数量、平均用工人数、资产总计、出口贸易总值、汇率。随后基于以上六个方面建立多元线性回归模型,对中国纺织服装业国际竞争力的影响因素进行实证分析,得出中国纺织服装业企业单位数量、出口贸易总值以及汇率都对该产业国际竞争力存在显著影响,其中企业单位数量、出口贸易总值与中国该产业国际竞争力呈正相关,人民币兑美元汇率与中国该产业国际竞争力呈负相关;而平均用工人数和资产总计则与中国该产业国际竞争力相对而言并没有显著的关系。在以上实证分析结果的基础上提出相关建议,包括发挥产业集群作用、开拓海外新市场、积极应对汇率波动、积极应对国内外环境变化以及制定国际贸易应对预案。

The international competitiveness of China’s textile and garment industry from 1999 to 2018 was studied in detail and fully,including the current situation analysis and empirical research.This paper analyzes the current competitiveness of China’s textile and garment industry and the relevant influencing factors,including the number of enterprises,the average number of employees,the total assets,the total value of export trade and the exchange rate.Then the empirical part based on the above six aspects:to establish a multiple linear regression model,the influence factors of the international competitiveness of China’s textile garment industry influence the empirical analysis,it is concluded that China’s textile clothing enterprise unit number,gross export trade and exchange rate have a significant impact on the industry international competitiveness,the enterprise unit number,total cost of the export trade,the industry international competitiveness is positively correlated with China,The exchange rate between RMB and us dollar is negatively correlated with the international competitiveness of China’s industry.However,the average number of employees and total assets have no significant relationship with the international competitiveness of China’s industry.On the basis of the above empirical analysis results,relevant Suggestions are proposed,including giving play to the role of industrial clusters,exploring new overseas markets and actively responding to exchange rate fluctuations.