基于顺序前兆模型的飞机复杂状态事故分析

Analysis of Aircraft Complicated State Accident Based on Sequential Precursor Model

顺序前兆模型(Sequential Precursor Model)是一种分析航空事故的方法。不同于通常以事故发生原因为目的的分析方法,该模型旨在寻找同一类事故的共同特点。使用该方法分析20起LOC事故,对得出的数据进行分析,且基于分析结果提出一些预防飞机进入复杂状态和失控的研究思路。

The Sequential Precursor Model(SPM)is a method of analyzing aviation accidents.Different from the analysis methods that usually aim at the cause of accidents,this model aims to find the common characteristics of the same type of accidents.And using this method to analyze20 LOC accidents,analyze the data obtained,and put forward some research ideas to prevent the aircraft from entering a complex state and losing control based on the analysis results.