上合组织(连云港)国际物流园与区域经济发展互动关系研究

Study on the Interaction between Shanghai Cooperation Organization(Lianyungang)International Logistics Park and Regional Economic Development

本文分析了上合组织(连云港)国际物流园的发展过程,并以连云港市2006—2017年货运量和GDP为衡量指标进行实证分析。采用单位根检验和协整检验,验证两者之间长期稳定的关系和单向的影响关系。接着通过格兰杰因果关系检验发现GDP是货运量的Granger原因,即连云港市经济增长促进物流园区的发展,但货运量不是GDP的Granger原因。最后针对结果,本文提出相应对策及建议。

This paper analyzes the development process of Shanghai Cooperation Organization(Lianyungang)International Logistics Park,and makes an empirical analysis with the freight volume and GDP of Lianyungang City from 2006 to 2017 as the measurement indicators.Unit root test and co-integration test are used to verify the long-term stable relationship and one-way infl uence relationship between the two.Then,through the Granger Causality Test,it is found that GDP is the Granger cause of freight volume,that is,the economic growth of Lianyungang City promotes the development of the logistics park,but the freight volume is not the Granger cause of GDP.Finally,in view of the results,this article puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.