基于二元Logistic模型的北京农户有机肥施用行为研究

Study on Beijing’s Farmers’Organic Fertilizer Application Behavior Based on Binary Logistic Model

施用有机肥是我国绿色农业发展的重要内容。为了解北京农户有机肥施用行为的影响因素,利用北京地区200户微观调查数据,运用二元Logistic回归模型分析了农户有机肥施用行为及其影响因素。结果表明:农户是否接受过有机肥技术指导、是否加入合作社、农户对过量施用化肥危害环境的认知、是否担忧粮食安全性的认知以及当地政府对农村生态环境的监管程度等是影响农户施用有机肥的显著因素。根据研究结果得出相关政策启示:一是加强对我国走农业绿色发展道路的意义和作用的宣传,加强农户绿色农业相关技术的系统培训和技术指导;二是发挥合作社在绿色农业发展中的带动作用,鼓励广大农户积极加入农民专业合作社;三是健全农业农村生态环境监管政策体系,加强农村基层环境监管能力建设。

The application of organic fertilizer is an important content in the development of green agriculture in China.In order to understand the influencing factors of farmer’s organic fertilizer application behavior,using the data of 200 microsurvey of Beijing,the main factors affecting the behavior of organic fertilizer application were analyzed by using binary logistic regression model.It is concluded that whether farmers have received technical guidance on organic fertilizers,whether they have joined farmers’professional cooperative,the perceptions of excessive use of chemical fertilizers that harming the environment,whether they are concerned about food security,and the local government’s supervision to the rural ecological environment,are significant factors affecting farmers’application of organic fertilizers.According to the research results,the relevant policy implications are proposed:one is to strengthen the publicity of the significance and function of green agriculture development in China,and strengthen the systematic training and technical guidance about green agriculture for farmers.The second is to play the leading role of farmers’professional cooperatives in the development of green agriculture and encourage farmers to actively join cooperatives actively.The third is to improve the agricultural and rural ecological environment supervision policy system and strengthen the construction of rural grass-roots environmental supervision capacity.