农业补贴、劳动力转移与农户收入——以湖北省鄂西山区四县385户农户为例

Agricultural Subsidies,Labor Transfer and Farmers'Income——A Case Study of 385 Households in Four Counties of Hubei Province

农业补贴在保障粮食安全、提高农民收入方面发挥了巨大作用,但以往研究较少关注生态脆弱地区的农业补贴政策效果。以湖北省鄂西山区四县385户易地扶贫搬迁户为例,研究分析了投资受制地区农业补贴的增收效应。研究表明,对丘陵山区而言,农业补贴每提高1%,非农务工的可能性降低24%-29.4%,对应农业收入增加3.353%,而非农收入减少3.348%,家庭总收入减少0.31%。进一步地,该地区农户的农业收入的增加,可能不是化学要素投资引致的,但极有可能是土地规模扩张导致的。政策建议是:农业补贴政策要因地制宜,不断强化农业技术研发与推广,适度开发生态脆弱地区的非农产业,多渠道拓宽农户收入来源。

Agricultural subsidies play a great role in ensuring food security and raising farmers'income,but the previous researches have paid little attention to the effect of agricultural subsidies in ecologically vulnerable areas.Taking 385 households in four counties of the western Hubei Province as an example,the paper analyzes the effect of increasing income of agricultural subsidies in the areas subject to investment.The results show that for hilly and mountainous areas,the probability of non-agricultural work decreases by 24%to 29.4%for every 1%increase of agricultural subsidies,3.353%for corresponding agricultural income,3.348%for non-agricultural income and 0.31%for households.Further,the increase of farmers'agricultural income in the region may not be caused by chemical factor investment,but it is likely that the expansion of land scale is the result.The policy suggestions are:the agricultural subsidy policy should be based on local conditions,and the R&D and promotion of agricultural technology should be strengthened constantly,the non-agricultural industries in ecologically vulnerable areas should be developed appropriately,and the income sources of farmers should be widened through multiple channels.