撤县(市)设区的产业结构升级效应及其影响因素研究

A Study on the Upgrading Effect of Industrial Structure and Its Influencing Factors in the Turning Countries into Districts

选取南通市通州区、徐州市铜山区、扬州市江都区、苏州市吴江区和泰州市姜堰区共5个案例,以2000—2017年为研究期,对上述区域产业结构升级情况进行历时性测评分析。结果显示:撤县(市)设区存在产业结构升级效应,撤县(市)设区对被撤县(市)的产业结构高级化、产业结构合理化和产业结构升级都具有正向促进作用,但这种促进作用往往具有一定的时滞性;撤县(市)设区主要通过政府行为、社会需求和资源供给来影响被撤县(市)的产业结构升级;政府行为、社会需求、资源供给对产业结构升级的实现分别起着主导作用、拉动作用和推动作用;城镇居民人均可支配收入、在岗职工平均工资、产业政策的地方政府规章和文件累积量、人力资本累积量以及科学技术和教育支出是被撤县(市)在撤县(市)设区后产业结构升级的主要影响因子。

This study selects Tongzhou District of Nantong City,Tongshan District of Xuzhou City,Jiangdu District of Yangzhou City,Wujiang District of Suzhou City and Jiangyan District of Taizhou City as research cases,takes 2000-2017 as the research period,and makes a diachronic evaluation study on the industrial structure upgrade of the research cases.The results show that there is an upgrading effect of industrial structure in the district of withdrawing counties(cities).Turning countries into district plays a positive role in advancing industrial structure,rationalizing industrial structure and upgrading of industrial structure in withdrawn counties(cities),but it has a certain time lag.Turning counties(cities)into district mainly affect the upgrading of the industrial structure of the withdrawn counties(cities)through the three dimensions of government behavior,social demand and resource supply.Government behavior,social demand and resource supply play leading role,pulling role and promoting role in the upgrading of industrial structure separately.The per capita disposable income of urban residents,the average salary of on-duty employees,the accumulation of local government regulations and documents of industrial policy,the accumulation of human capital and expenditure on science,technology and education are the main influencing factors of industrial structure upgrading after the withdrawal of counties(cities).