美国对华纺织品进口的三元边际分解及影响因素分析

Ternary Marginal Decomposition of American Textile Imports to China and Its Influencing Factors

当前中美关系复杂,台海问题、新冠疫情引起的信任危机、意识形态差异等都构成了两国双边关系发展的障碍。基于此,重新确定中美纺织品贸易增长成因就显得很有必要。从三元边际分解的角度对美国对华纺织品进口进行分解,并考察各变量对价格指数、数量指数、增长量指数的影响;然后,结合当前的先进理念,提出优化对美纺织品出口的建议,为我国纺织品贸易可持续发展提供理论依据。

At present,Sino-US relations are complicated.The Taiwan Strait issue,the crisis of confidence caused by COVID-19,and ideological differences constitute obstacles to the development of bilateral relations.Based on this,it is necessary to re-examine the growth of Sino-US textile trade.This paper decomposes American textile imports to China from the perspective of ternary marginal decomposition,and examines the influence of each variable on price index,quantity index and growth index.Finally,combined with the current advanced ideas,this paper puts forward some suggestions to optimize the textile export to the United States,which provides a theoretical basis for the sustainable development of China’s textile trade.