基于前景理论的区域绿色经济发展水平多指标评价

Multiple Index Evaluation of Regional Green EconomicDevelopment Level Based on Prospect Theory

针对绿色经济发展水平评价指标存在模糊性、异质性等问题,提出一种规范化信息,并运用前景理论进行多指标评价的方法。首先,构建区域绿色经济发展水平评价指标体系。其次,规范化异质信息,并计算待比较方案的前景函数。然后,通过定义前景值排序与专家决策偏好的一致性和不一致性程度,建立决策优化模型,计算各方案的前景值,进行方案排序和优选。最后,以三明市县域绿色经济发展水平评价为例,说明该方法的有效性、合理性和实用性。

Aiming at the problems of fuzzy and heterogeneity in the evaluation index of green economy development,a standardized information and multiple index evaluation method is proposed based on prospect theory.First,an evaluation index system of regional green economic development level is built.Second,the heterogeneous information is normalized and the prospect function of the scheme to be compared is calculated.Furthermore,by defining the degree of consistency and inconsistency between the ranking of prospect value and the decision preference of experts,the decision optimization model is establishedand the prospect value of each scheme is calculated to rank and optimize the scheme.Finally,taking the evaluation of the level of green economic development in Sanming city as an example,the validity,rationality and practicability of this method are explained.