石化投资项目产品国内市场供应分析的研究方法

Study Method for Domestic Market Supply of Products in Investment Projects of Petrochemical Industry

论述了在国内石化装置建设中产品市场分析与预测的适用原理,分析了石化装置建设中的国内市场分析所涉及的内容,重点对石化产品供应现状及未来预测进行了详细阐述,涉及主流与非主流生产工艺计入与否的考量、现有供应数据来源、进出口数据来源及查询方法、进出口数据分析的作用与价值,同时,对供应预测数据来源进行了说明,并提出了提高供应预测准确度的方法与经验。

The applicable principles of product market analysis and forecast in the construction of domestic petrochemical plant were discussed,and the contents involved in the domestic market analysis were analyzed,with emphasis on the current situation and future forecast of petrochemical product supply,involving the consideration of whether to include mainstream and non-mainstream production processes,the existing supply data sources,import and export data sources and query methods,and the role and value of import and export data analysis.Meanwhile,the sources of supply forecast data is explained,methods and experience for improving of supply forecast accuracy are proposed.