中国省域普惠金融与农业现代化的空间分布特征及计量检验

Spatial Distribution Characteristics and Econometric Test of Provincial Inclusive Finance and Agricultural Modernization in China

采用普惠金融发展指数、农业现代化水平指数、空间趋势面分析以及双变量空间自相关模型等方法对中国省域普惠金融与农业现代化的空间分布特征进行分析,并进一步利用面板数据回归模型计量检验普惠金融对农业现代化的影响。结果表明:(1)研究期内中国省域普惠金融与农业现代化总体均表现出"东高西低、北高南低"的空间趋势分布。(2)普惠金融与农业现代化具有较强的空间正相关性,空间集聚分布特征明显,且从LISA集聚图来看,普惠金融与农业现代化存在高高集聚、低低集聚、低高集聚和高低集聚4种空间集聚类型,但不同集聚类型的空间分布范围和稳定性存在差异。(3)从全国层面来看,普惠金融显著促进了农业现代化水平的提升,从区域层面来看,普惠金融对农业现代化的促进作用仅在中西部地区显著,而在东部地区不显著。基于上述结论,提出相关政策建议。

Using the inclusive finance development index,agricultural modernization level index and bivariate spatial autocorrelation model,the spatial distribution characteristics of provincial inclusive finance and agricultural modernization in China is studied,furthermore,the panel data regression model is used to measure the impact of inclusive finance on agricultural modernization.The results show that:(1)During the study period,provincial inclusive finance and agricultural modernization in China generally showed the spatial trend of"the east is higher than the west,and the north is higher than the south".(2)There is a strong spatial correlation between inclusive finance and agricultural modernization,and their spatial concentration distribution is obvious.And from the LISA cluster map,there are four types of spatial agglomeration,which is high-high agglomeration,low-low agglomeration,low-high agglomeration and high-low agglomeration,but the spatial distribution range and stability of different cluster types are different.(3)From the national level,the inclusive finance has greatly promoted the level of agricultural modernization,From the regional level,the promotion effect of inclusive finance on agricultural modernization is significant only in the central and western regions,but not in the eastern region.Based on the above conclusions,the relevant policy recommendations are put forward.Based on the above conclusions,the relevant policy recommendations are put forward.