日本国际安全战略的新动向及其影响

Japan's International Security Strategy:New Developments and Implications

菅义伟政府的国际安全战略沿袭并发展了“安倍路线”,其以印太地区为重点,升级日美印澳“指导性安全联盟”,深化多边多层安保体系,强调经济安全保障议题,强化供应链安全,并经历了从反对构建“亚洲版北约”到利用多边围堵制华的路线转变。国际形势和印太权力格局新变化、美国对盟国的政策调整,以及推动战后日本安全战略转型和迎合国内政治需求等是菅政府调整和深化国际安全战略的主要动因。菅政府的国际安全战略在能力和框架上均存在缺陷,背后的安全理念也不符合时代潮流,难以获得地区国家的广泛支持,但其产生的复杂影响需要重视。

Yoshihide Suga’s administration follows and develops“Abe’s route”in the area of international security strategy,which focuses on the Indo-Pacific region and upgrades the“guiding security alliance”of Japan,the US,India,and Australia.The Suga administration has deepened a multilateral security system,emphasized economic security,and strengthened the security of the supply chain.It also experienced a change from opposing the construction of“Asian version of NATO”to using multilateral containment to encircle China.The adjustments of Suga’s International Security Strategy are driven by new changes in the international situation and the Indo-Pacific power structure,the US Biden administration’s deepening policy adjustments to its allies under the Indo-Pacific strategy,promoting the transformation of Japan’s post-war security strategy and catering to domestic political needs.At present,the international security strategy of Suga’s administration has defects in both capability and framework,and the security concept behind it is also backward,so it is difficult to obtain extensive support from regional countries.Meanwhile,its complex influences need to be taken seriously.