基于计量模型的中国汽车轮胎市场需求预测

Forecast of China's Automobile Tire Market Demand Based on Measurement Models

近年来,得益于汽车产业的蓬勃发展,轮胎行业在国民经济中的地位不断提升,庞大的轮胎需求为中国轮胎企业提供了广阔的发展空间,为帮助企业准确预测市场,文章基于中国汽车市场相关数据构建ARMA、线性回归、VAR、GM(1,1)等计量经济模型对中国轮胎市场需求进行预测,为中国轮胎企业生产规划、业务布局提供相应参考。

In recent years,thanks to the vigorous development of the automobile industry,the tire industry's position in the national economy has continued to improve.The huge demand for tires has provided a broad development space for Chinese tire companies.To help companies accurately predict the market,this article is based on the Chinese automobile market.Relevant data constructs econometric models such as ARMA,linear regression,VAR,GM(1,1)to predict the demand of the tire market in my country,and provide corresponding references for tire companies in my country.