大棚种植户的洪涝灾害风险认知度及影响因素研究——以山东省为例

Study on Flood Risk Awareness and Influencing Factors of Greenhouse Growers:A Case Study in Shandong Province

大棚种植户是洪涝灾害中的高脆弱人群。以山东省2018年受灾最严重的寿光与未受灾的招远两地的大棚种植户为例,调查其灾害风险认知度及主要影响因素。通过问卷赋值权重设置,对大棚种植户的洪涝灾害风险认知度进行综合评估,百分制下大棚种植户的认知度平均得分为55.7,其中寿光平均分为62.8,招远平均分为50。运用logistic方法进行大棚种植户认知度的影响因素分析,最重要的影响因素为恐惧度,其次是熟悉度、暴露度,具体为:恐惧度(年龄段>近期是否受灾)、熟悉度(家庭成员学历>文化程度>灾害经历)、暴露度(家庭人均月收入)。为了提高种植户的灾害应对能力,要创新灾害体验方式,使种植户尽可能体验灾害场景,提升灾害风险认知度,精细化培训内容,做到因材施教。

Greenhouse growers are highly vulnerablity to flood disaster.We take the worst-hit greenhouse growers of Shouguang and the unaffected greenhouse of Zhaoyuan growers in Shandong Province in 2018 as examples to investigate their awareness of disaster risk and the main influencing factors.Through the weight setting of the questionnaire,comprehensive assessment is conducted on the awareness of flood disaster risk of greenhouse growers.The average score of awareness of greenhouse growers under the percentage system was 55.7,which the average score of Shouguang was 62.8,and the average score of Zhaoyuan was 50.Using Logistic method Regression to analyze the influence factors of greenhouse growers in risk awareness,the most important influence factor is the Dread,followed by the Familiarity,Exposure,specific as follows:Dread(age>recent disaster or not),Familiarity(education background of family>cultural>disaster experience),Exposure(per capita monthly income of the family).In order to improve the disaster response ability of growers,it is necessary to innovate the way of disaster experience,so that growers can experience disaster scenes as much as possible,enhance the awareness of disaster risk,refine the training content,and teach students according to their aptitude.