在“乌卡”环境中驾驭变化--《2020学术图书馆发展趋势报告》重点解读与拓展思考

Managing Changes in VUCA Environment-Essential Interpretation and Expanding Study on 2020 ACRL Academic Libraries Top Trends

针对当前高校和学术图书馆所处的外部环境,引介“乌卡”概念和乌卡环境特点,以此为背景对美国大学和研究型图书馆协会(ACRL)发布的《2020学术图书馆发展趋势报告》列出的九大趋势进行解读。在此基础上,重点聚焦中国高校和学术图书馆关注度较高、适宜性较强、研究储备和实践储备均较充分的几个趋势,包括“领导力培养”“图书馆系统演化”“机器学习与人工智能”“开放获取”“研究数据”等,介绍国内高校和学术图书馆的相关现状和进展,探析其在乌卡环境下的发展策略,以期为其在乌卡环境中驾驭变化、重构未来提供方向性思路和参考。

In view of the current external environment of universities and academic libraries,this paper introduces the concept of“VUCA”and the characteristics of VUCA environment.Among the nine trends listed in the 2020 ACRL Academic Libraries Top Trends report,several trends with high attention,strong relevance,and sufficient research and practice reserves among Chinese academic libraries,such as new leadership,evolving library system,machine learning and AI,open access and research data management,have been selected for deep interpretation,following with a comparative study on the differences and characteristics between domestic universities and academic libraries and libraries in the US.The purpose is to provide directional thoughts and valuable reference for Chinese universities and academic libraries to adapt to the changing VUCA environment and reconstruct the future of libraries.