“一带一路”倡议在大洋洲的政治安全风险

Political Security Risks of BRI in Oceania

自2013年提出以来,“一带一路”倡议在大洋洲得到了越来越多国家的认可与响应,在政策沟通、贸易畅通、资金融通、设施联通和民心相通这五大领域都取得了重要进展,促进了中国与大洋洲国家的共同发展。由于大洋洲地区岛国众多、经济发展水平各异、种族成分复杂及澳大利亚和新西兰在大洋洲地区秩序中的领导地位等因素的影响,“一带一路”倡议在该地区面临着大国博弈、政局动荡等政治安全风险。这需要中国从舆论引导、妥善处理涉华问题、加强大国间沟通、完善安全保障、海洋环境合作等方面考虑,多措并举,以便增强政治互信和经济合作,促进“后疫情时代”“一带一路”倡议在大洋洲地区顺利实施。

Since its proposal in 2013,the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI)has been recognized by more and more countries in Oceania,and has made visible progress in five areas:policy coordination,infrastructure connectivity,unimpeded trade,financial integration,and connecting people,promoting the common development of China and Oceania countries.Due to the great number of island countries,different levels of economic development,complex ethnic composition and the leading role of Australia and New Zealand in the region,the BRI faces political and security risks,such as the game of major powers and political instability.This requires China to take multiple measures,including public information campaign,proper handling of China-related issues,better communication with major powers,better security guarantees,and cooperation in the marine environment,in order to enhance political mutual trust and economic cooperation among the countries and promote the relatively smooth implementation of the BRI in Oceania in the post-COVID era.