边界条件下文化近似对“一带一路”沿线国家双边贸易的影响

The Impact of Cultural Approximation on the Bilateral Trade of Countries along the“Belt and Road”Route under Boundary Conditions

基于多层次建模方法,利用“一带一路”沿线国家2008-2017年双边六分位产品贸易数据,研究文化近似对“一带一路”沿线国家双边贸易的影响以及“一带一路”倡议和进口国文化分割的边界效应。研究结果表明:由于文化近似减少了双边贸易的不确定性,“一带一路”沿线国家间的文化近似度越高,双边贸易量越大。“一带一路”倡议所创造的积极的区域制度环境会加强文化近似对“一带一路”沿线国家双边贸易的促进作用;但是,进口国文化分割则会减弱文化近似对“一带一路”沿线国家双边贸易的促进效应。本文的研究发现有助于深入认识文化近似对国际贸易的影响及其边界条件,进而从文化的视角为“一带一路”倡议的持续深入实施提供有效的政策建议。

Based on a multi-level modeling method, this paper makes use of the 2008-2017 bilateral six-quantile product trade data of the countries along the"Belt and Road"route to study the impact of cultural approximation on the bilateral trade of the countries along the"Belt and Road"route and the boundary effect between the "Belt and Road" initiative and the culture division of the importing countries. The findings show that because cultural approximation reduces the uncertainty of bilateral trade, the higher the degree of cultural approximation among the countries along the"Belt and Road"route, the greater the bilateral trade volume will be. The positive regional institutional environment created by the"Belt and Road"initiative will strengthen the promotion of cultural proximity to the bilateral trade of countries along the"Belt and Road"route;however, the cultural division of importing countries will weaken the promotion effect of cultural proximity on the bilateral trade of countries along the" Belt and Road" route. The research findings of this paper will help to understand the impact of cultural approximation on international trade and its boundary conditions, then providing effective policy recommendations for the continuous and in-depth implementation of the"Belt and Road"initiative from a cultural perspective.