美国“天然气传输与分配模型”原理分析与研究

Analysis and Research on the Principle of "Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Model" in the United States

针对我国天然气政府定价的定价机制尚未健全,还没有建立起对我国天然气市场进行模拟的数学模型的问题,研究分析美国国家"天然气传输与分配"模型(NGTDM)的概念、原理、计算方法,理清NGTDM的总体结构、模块之间的关系以及每个模型的协作方式,以搞清楚模型中美国天然气价格、需求量和产量之间的作用机理,为我国健全天然气定价机制和建立自己天然气市场数学模型提供一个可借鉴的参考方向。

In view of the fact that the pricing mechanism of China’s natural gas government pricing is not yet perfect and the mathematical model for simulating China’s natural gas market has not been established, this paper studies and analyzes the concept, principle and calculation method of the national natural gas transmission and distribution model(NGTDM) of the United States, and clarifies the overall structure of NGTDM, the relationship between modules and the cooperation mode of each model, The purpose of this paper is to find out the mechanism among the price, demand and output of natural gas in the United States, and to provide a reference direction for China to improve the pricing mechanism of natural gas and establish its own mathematical model of natural gas market.