技术进步、生产规模与农业经济增长--基于空间计量模型的实证研究

Technological Progress,Production Scale and Agricultural Economic Growth—Empirical Study Based on Spatial Econometric Model

基于2009—2018年我国农业产值相关的省级面板数据,构建空间计量模型,就技术进步、生产规模等关键影响因素对农业经济增长的影响进行深入研究和政策讨论。结果表明:农业经济增长具有较强的正向空间相关性和空间聚集性,育种技术、机械技术、互联网技术的进步在空间效应下均对农业经济增长呈现良好的促进作用,其中互联网技术效应最为显著且影响作用最强。生产规模越大越有利于农业规模化的发展,从而拉动农业经济发展。农村教育水平、农村水电站以及城镇化率的提升也能够带动农业经济更好更快的发展。

Based on the provincial panel data of China’s agricultural output value from 2009 to 2018,a spatial econometric model was constructed to conduct in-depth research and policy discussion on the impact of key factors such as technological progress and production scale on agricultural economic growth.The results showed that agricultural economic growth had strong positive spatial correlation and spatial aggregation,and the progress of breeding technology,mechanical technology and Internet technology had good promotion effects on agricultural economic growth under the spatial effect,among which,the effects of Internet technology were the most significant and the most influential.The larger the scale of production was,the more conducive to the development of agricultural scale was,so as to promote the development of agricultural economy.The improvement of rural education level,rural hydropower stations and urbanization rate could also promote the better and faster development of agricultural economy.