从供求两侧考虑我国农业安全

Discussion on China Agricultural Security:From both Sides of Supply and Demand

本文认为食物安全或粮食安全的根本是农业安全;中国的农业安全、从而食物安全问题根源于中国巨大人口总量、从而巨大食物需求与有限资源之间的矛盾,因此,解决问题的思路、政策和措施,需要从供给和需求两个方面统筹考虑;供给方面,影响中国农业安全的主要因素是可农土地数量和质量、以种子为核心的农业技术、物种和资本,而且是四位一体、相互关联的。资本市场是现代开放金融体系背景下影响农业安全的新因素。国际供给是被有效利用还是被控制,取决于上述四个因素,特别是农地是否安全;需求方面,控制人口总量、从而控制总需求是战略性的,优化需求结构、消费观念和消费方式也有很大的缓解食物安全问题的空间。

This paper believes that food safety is the fundamental to agricultural security.This concern drives from the unbalance between the disproportionate population of China and its limited resources.Therefore,to provide efficient analysis of solutions,proposal of policies and constructive suggestions,there are two principal perspectives required to be considered,which are supply and demand.With regard to supply,the dominated factors that affect agricultural security are quantity and quality of farmable land,seed-oriented agriculture technology,species and capital.These four factors are fully coordinated and integrated,called‘four-in-one line’.Capital market is a newly established factor affecting agriculture security under the modern financial open system.Whether international supply is efficiently utilized or under control is subject to these four factors,particularly for land security.With regard to demand,population control so as to the demand management is strategic.Besides,there is still great potential for optimizing the demand structure,consumption concept and pattern to alleviate the food security issues.