湖北省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的实证研究

Empirical study on the relationship among FDI,foreign trade and economic growth in Hubei province

基于1989—2019年湖北省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长的数据,经平稳性检验、Johansen协整检验与格兰杰检验表明,湖北省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长存在相关关系与长期均衡关系,且FDI与对外贸易有利于湖北省经济增长。同时结合经济增长理论,提出湖北省应进一步明确外向开放发展战略,推进湖北自贸试验区发展,以吸引外资、扩大出口,并通过扩大内需来拉动湖北省经济增长。

Based on the data of FDI,foreign trade and economic growth in Hubei province from 1989 to 2019,the stationary test,Johansen cointegration test and Granger test showed that there was a correlation and long-term equilibrium relationship among FDI,foreign trade and economic growth in Hubei province,and FDI and foreign trade were conducive to economic growth in Hubei province.At the same time,combined with the theory of economic growth,Hubei province should further clarify the development strategy of outward opening,promote the development of Hubei Pilot Free Trade Zone,so as to attract foreign investment,expand exports,and stimulate the economic growth of Hubei province by expanding domestic demand.