基于多元回归的危化品道路运输事故风险影响因素分析

Influence Factors of Road Transportation Accident Risks of Hazardous Chemicals Based on Multiple Regression

针对近年来多起危化品道路运输事故,从直接因素、间接因素、环境因素、人为因素等方面入手,采用多元回归分析的方法,为运输事故风险评估奠定基础。研究结果显示:对于危化品道路运输事故有较大关联的因素分别为月、时间段、道路类型、品类划分、天气状况、精神状态、操作失误、危化品状态、事故类型、事故责任方,需要增强防范。

Focusing on accidents for transporting hazardous chemicals in recent years,this paper started with the direct factors,indirect factors,environment factors and human factors,using multiple regression analysis to lay a foundation for transportation accident risk assessment.The results show that the factors that are closely related to transportation accidents of hazardous chemicals are month,time period,road type,category,weather condition,mental state,operation mistakes,hazardous chemical state,accident type and accident responsible party,so it is necessary to strengthen precautions against the influence of these factors.