文明周期表和新现代化理论

Periodic table of civilizations and new modernization theory

把人类文明看作一个有机整体,根据其生产力和劳动力结构的发展水平和周期性,可以建立人类文明进程的周期表,简称文明周期表。把从人类诞生到21世纪末的人类文明进程的前沿过程分为4个发展周期16个发展阶段。其中,4个周期分别是原始文化、农业文明、工业文明和知识文明周期,每个周期都包括起步期、发展期、成熟期和过渡期4个阶段。文明周期表主要有3种排列方式,即简表、竖表和横表。在文明周期表中,从农业文明向工业文明、从农业经济向工业经济、从农业社会向工业社会的转变是第一次现代化,从工业文明向知识文明、从工业经济向知识经济、从工业社会向知识社会的转变是第二次现代化。

This paper briefly discusses the periodic table of the civilizations(PTOC)and relative theories.In light of the periodic table of the elements and if human civilization is considered as an integrated organism,then the PTOC can be formulated by using periodicity and development level of the productivity and labor structure of human civilization.The PTOC divides the frontier process of human civilization from the birth of humankind to the end of 21st century into 4 periods and 16 stages.The 4 periods are those of primitive culture,agricultural civilization,industrial civilization and knowledge civilization,respectively,with each period including four stages,i.e.starting,developing,maturing and transition stages.The PTOC has three formats,i.e.simple,vertical and horizontal tables.The first modernization witnesses the great changes and transformation from traditional agricultural to modern industrial civilization,economy and society,and then the second modernization from the modern industrial to the higher modern knowledge civilization,economy and society.The PTOC and new modernization theory present a new reference for the international comparative and development studies,as well as a set of brief tables for the people who concern human civilization and world modernization.