智能化对区域经济增长质量发展的影响及内在机理——基于2012—2018年中国省级面板数据

The Impact of Intelligentization on the Quality of Regional Economic Growth and Its Internal Mechanism:Based on 2012-2018 Provincial Panel Data in China

我国正处于经济高速增长向高质量发展转型的关键阶段,区域经济差距过大是影响经济高质量发展的重要阻碍。智能化作为新兴技术的主要代表,对区域经济协调发展及整体宏观经济发展质量均具有重大影响。基于2012—2018年的中国省级面板数据,利用经济收敛模型研究智能化对区域经济增长质量的影响及其内在机理。结果表明:智能化可推动区域经济增长质量的收敛发展并呈条件β收敛特征,这一结论在一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;其作用的内在机理是,智能化通过提升全要素生产率和资本回报率对区域经济增长质量的动态空间收敛产生促进作用;研究还发现,区域市场的整合程度对智能化影响区域经济质量收敛发展具有正向调节效应。因而应充分发挥智能化红利,推动区域经济均衡发展;紧抓新基建契机,完善智能化配套基础设施;提高要素市场的流动性,加强区域之间的经济合作,提升我国整体经济增长的质量。

The development of China’s economy is at a critical stage of the transition from high-speed growth to high-quality growth. Excessive regional economic gap is an important obstacle that affects high-quality economic development. As the main representative of emerging technologies, intelligence has a significant impact on the coordinated development of regional economies and the quality of overall macroeconomic development. Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2012 to 2018, the economic convergence model is used to study the impact of intelligentization on the quality of regional economic growth and its internal mechanism. The results show that: intelligentization can promote the convergence of regional economic growth quality and presents the characteristics of conditional β convergence. This conclusion is still valid after a series of robustness tests. The internal mechanism is that intelligence promotes the dynamic spatial convergence of regional economic growth quality by improving total factor productivity and return on capital. It is also found that the degree of integration of the regional market regulates the effect of intelligence on the convergence and development of regional economic quality. Therefore, it is proposed to give full play to the intelligent dividend, promote the balanced development of the regional economy, seize the opportunity of new infrastructure to improve the intelligent supporting infrastructure, the liquidity of the factor market and strengthen the economic cooperation between regions.