基于GM(1,1)模型的高职软件和信息技术服务人才需求预测

Forecast of Talents Demand for Higher Vocational Colleges Software and Information Technology Service Based on GM(1,1)Model

以2011-2020年我国软件和信息技术服务业高职从业人数和占比数据作为人才需求的预测依据,运用灰色模型GM(1,1)进行人才需求预测。根据拟合数据证实本模型的有效性,并将其用于“十四五”期间软件和信息技术服务人才预测,为高职院校制订软件和信息技术服务专业教育规划和科学决策提供依据。

Based on the data of the number of employees in the software and information technology service industry in higher vocational education and the proportion of higher vocational education from 2011 to 2020 as the basis for forecasting talent demand,the gray model GM(1,1)is used to predict the talent demand.The effectiveness of this model is verified based on the fitted data,and it will be used in the prediction of technical and skilled talents in the software and information technology service industry during the"14th Five-Year Plan"period to provide a reference for the formulation and scientific decision-making of software and information technology service education in higher vocational colleges.