碳汇造林项目风险研究进展

Research Progress on the Risk of Carbon Sequestration Afforestation Project

碳汇造林被认为是一种成本较低的固碳方式,但是碳汇造林项目可能导致的风险在我国一直未得到充分的重视。国外相关研究表明,大规模碳汇造林可能导致生物多样性丧失、水资源短缺、土壤退化和养分流失、反照率和辐射增加、火灾等生态风险,也可能导致暴力冲突、贫困、饥饿、粮食价格上涨、破坏当地文化等一系列社会经济风险。基于相关文献的梳理,提出我国在碳汇造林项目风险方面今后的研究方向。

Carbon sequestration afforestation is considered to be a low-cost way of carbon sequestration,but the risk caused by carbon sequestration afforestation project has not been paid enough attention in China.Foreign related studies have shown that large-scale carbon sequestration afforestation may lead to ecological risks such as loss of biodiversity,shortage of water resources,soil degradation and nutrient loss,increase of albedo and radiation,and fire.And it may also lead to a series of socio-economic risks such as violent conflict,poverty,hunger,food price rising and destruction of local culture.Based on the literature review,the future research direction of carbon sequestration project risk research in China is proposed.