想像与真相:中国的中东政策

Myth and Truth:China's Middle East Policy

冷战时期,大国博弈、阶段性国际政治利益是决定中国中东政策的主要因素。冷战后,大国博弈退出决策舞台,阶段性国际政治利益的影响攀升,同时经济利益的重要性日益凸显,中国与中东国家的政治、经济和军事合作稳步推进。当前,中美全球博弈骤然加剧,美国在中东不断采取敌视、反制中国的言行,关于中东“中美大博弈”“中国取代美国”的炒作逐渐升温。对此,中国不仅要防范大国对抗重返中东舞台,而且要适度调低阶段性国际政治利益的决策主导地位。更重要的是,中国中东政策迫切需要转型升级,深刻领悟“总体国家安全观”思想,着眼于长远目标,促进政治、经济和安全手段的有机融合,逐步形成相对稳定、独立和具有内在一致性的“总体中东政策”,循序渐进地塑造一个和平稳定与发展的中东。唯有此,才能维护中国的长远国家利益。

During the Cold War,the great power competitions and the periodic international political interests were the main factors that decided China's Middle East policy.After the Cold War,great power competition was almost removed from the decision-making of China's Middle East policy,and the influence of international political interests increased,while the importance of economic interests became increasingly prominent.China's political,economic and military cooperation with Middle Eastern countries has made steady progress.At present,the global competition between China and the United States is heating up.In the Middle East,the United States is constantly taking hostile rhetoric and deeds to counter China,and the speculation about the“Great competition between China and the United States”and“China replacing the United States”in the Middle East is gradually rising.In this regard,China should not only guard against the return of great power confrontation to the Middle East,but also appropriately reduce the dominant influence of international political interests on the decision-making of China's Middle East Policy.More importantly,transformation of ChinaJ s Middle East policy is in urgent need,which include grasping the meaning of overall national security concept,focusing on long-term goals,promoting the organic combination of political,economic,and security measures,and gradually forming a relatively stable,independent and intrinsically consistent overall policy in the Middle East.This is the only way to safeguard China's long-term national interests.