环首都及雄安新区周边区域地价变动及影响因素分析

Analysis of Land Price Changes and Influencing Factors around the Capital and Xiong’an New Area

为研究环首都及雄安新区周边区域地价变动及影响因素,对环首都及雄安新区周边26个县(市、区)的国有建设用地平均出让单价进行分析,并基于标准差椭圆方法分析地价变动的规律及空间差异特征,选取出让总量、出让结构等土地出让内在因素和人口密度、人均GDP、城镇化率和政策效应等区域经济社会发展外在因素作为评价因素,采用灰色关联法研究这些因素对地价的影响大小。研究结果表明,出让总量和出让结构两个内在因素对土地出让单价的影响较小,而外在因素对出让单价的影响较大,尤以政策效应和城镇化率为甚。

In order to study the land price changes and influencing factors around the capital and Xiong'an New Area,makes an analysis of the average selling unit price of state-owned construction land in 26 counties(cities and districts)around the capital and Xiong’an New Area,and based on the Standard Deviation Ellipse Method,also analyzes the law and spacial differences of land price change.The evaluation factors include internal factors of land transfer such as the total transfer amount and transfer structure,and external factors of regional economic and social development such as population density,GDP per capita,urbanization rate and policy effect.The Grey Relation Method is adopted to study their influence on land price.The results show that the two internal factors of total transfer amount and transfer structure have a relatively minor influence on the unit price of land transfer,while the external factors have great influence on the unit price of land transfer,especially the policy effect and urbanization rate.