中美贸易摩擦对中国国际科技创新合作影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of China-US Trade Friction on China's International Cooperation in Science and Technology Innovation

选取2003—2017年中国高技术产品对美国出口的相关时间序列数据,通过拓展贸易引力模型,实证检验了中美贸易摩擦对中国国际科技合作的影响。研究发现:中美两国的GDP增幅对于中国高技术产品向美国的出口具有正向影响,且高技术产品的出口对美国GDP的影响更为敏感显著;中国的科技创新水平对中国高技术产业出口具有正向作用;中国赴美留学生人数的增加对于中美间的高技术产品贸易往来影响较小。此外,通过梳理中美国际科技合作发展现状,进一步探讨了中国科技型企业转危为机,优化国际科技合作创新最佳路径的建议。

Selecting relevant time series data of China's high-tech products'exports to the United States from 2003 to 2017,this paper empirically tested the impact of China-US trade friction on China's international scientific and technological cooperation by expanding the trade gravity model.The study found that the GDP growth rates of China and the United States have a positive impact on the export of Chinese high-tech products to the United States,and the export of high-tech products is more sensitive to the impact of the US GDP;China's technological innovation level has a positive impact on China's high-tech industry export;the increase in the number of Chinese students studying in the United States has less impact on the high-tech product trade between China and the United States.In addition,by reviewing the development status of China-US international scientific and technological cooperation and learning from history,it further explored the recommendations for Chinese scientific and technological enterprises to turn crises into opportunities and optimize the best path for international scientific and technological cooperation and innovation.