物流枢纽建设对承载城市经济增长的影响——基于40个国家物流枢纽城市的面板数据分析

The Impact of National Logistics Hubs Construction on Economic Growth of Host Cities——Based on Panel Data of 40 National Logistics Hub Host Cities

从物流的“基础性、战略性和先导性”视角,综合分析国家物流枢纽建设对承载城市的经济效应,通过选择全国40个国家物流枢纽承载城市2008~2019年面板数据,在考虑相关控制变量的基础上,采用动态面板数据模型定量测度物流枢纽建设对承载城市经济增长的影响。结果表明:(1)对于承载城市经济发展,物流枢纽建设所起到的推动作用具有动态时间滞后效应;(2)物流枢纽的经济效应在不同时段内是同向且为正向;(3)区域经济越发达,当期物流枢纽经济效应的显著性越低,它对经济增长的影响程度也相对较低;(4)相较东部和中部承载城市,物流枢纽建设对西部承载城市经济发展具有持续性促进作用。

From the perspective of“basic,strategic and leading”of logistics,this paper comprehensively analyzes economic effects on the construction of national logistics hubs in host cities.By selecting the city's panel data in 40 national logistics hub host cities from 2008 to 2019,and taking relevant control variables into account,the dynamic panel data model is used to quantitatively measure the impact of national logistics hubs construction on economic growth of host cities.The research shows that:(1)The construction of logistics hubs have dynamic time lag effects on economic growth of host cities.(2)The construction of logistics hubs have positive economic effects on different time periods.(3)In the more economically developed areas,the less obvious economic effects of logistics hubs in the current period,and the impact of logistics hubs on economic growth is relatively low.(4)Compared with the eastern and central host cities,only the economic development of western host cities has been continuously promoted by the construction of logistics hubs.