摘要
应用灰色灾变理论对米易县1965—2020年干旱年份进行建模,预测米易未来可能出现的干旱年,以期为米易县抗旱减灾工作提供科学依据。
The grey catastrophe theory is applied to model the drought years from 1965 to 2020 in Miyi County,and the possible drought years in the future are predicted.The conclusion can provide scientific basis for the work of drought resistance and disaster reduction in Miyi County.
作者
陈静
CHEN Jing(Miyi Meteorological Bureau,Miyi,Sichuan 617200)
出处
《农业灾害研究》
2021年第5期71-72,75,共3页
Journal of Agricultural Catastrophology
关键词
灰色灾变理论
精度检测
干旱预测
Grey catastrophe theory
Accuracy detection
Drought prediction
