我国体育产业与经济社会发展关联关系测度研究

Research on the Measurement of the Linkage between Sports Industry and Economic and Social Development in China

采用产业关联理论作为分析体育产业与经济社会发展的理论基础,并通过灰色关联分析探寻体育产业与经济社会发展关联关系的强弱。研究表明,体育产业与经济社会发展之间关联关系的理论基础是产品与劳务、生产技术、劳动就业、投资等的联系;2006—2017年体育产业与经济社会发展指标的关联程度由高到低依次为:科技产出专利申请数(0.8976)、研究与试验发展经费支出(0.8475)、一般公共预算支出(0.8295)、农村居民人均可支配收入(0.7937)、居民消费水平(0.7881)、GDP(0.7767)、城镇居民人均可支配收入(0.7685)、城市建设用地面积(0.6953)、城镇就业人数(0.6758)、城镇化率(0.6656)、第三产业占GDP比重(0.6618)、城市人口密度(0.6575)、乡村医生和卫生员数(0.6297)、第二产业占GDP比重(0.6090)、乡村人口(0.6071);科技、居民可支配收入水平、城市人口状况与体育产业发展的关联关系呈现增强态势。基于此,提出增强体育科技创新、加大体育产业的财税政策支持、培育体育消费、发挥体育产业在经济增长中的积极作用等建议,以提升体育产业与经济社会发展的关联效应。

This paper uses the industrial relevance theory as the theoretical basis for the analysis of sports industry and economic and social development,and explores the strength of the rela‐tionship between sports industry and economic and social development through grey correlation analysis.The results show that the theoretical basis of the relationship between sports industry and economic and social development is product-labor relationship,production-technology rela‐tionship,labor-employment relationship,and investment relationship,etc.The correlation de‐gree between sports industry and economic and social development indicators in 2006 to 2017 is in turn the number of patent applications for scientific and technological output(0.8976),ex‐penditure on research and experimental development(0.8475),expenditure on general public budget(0.8295),per capita disposable income of rural residents(0.7937),consumption level of residents(0.7881),gross domestic product(0.7767),urban per capita disposable income(0.7685),urban construction land area(0.6953),urban employment(0.6758),urbanization rate(0.6656),proportion of tertiary industry in GDP(0.6618),urban population density(0.6575),proportion of rural doctors and health workers(0.6297),proportion of secondary industry in GDP(0.6090),rural population(0.6071).Influenced by the national policy of No.46〔2014〕,the relationship between science and technology,residents,disposable income level,urban population and the development of sports industry has been strengthened.Based on this,some suggestions are put forward,such as strengthening the innovation of sports science and technology,increasing the financial and taxation policy support of sports industry,cultivating sports consumption,and giving full play to the positive role of sports industry in economic growth,so as to enhance the correlation effect between sports industry and economic and social development.