大尺度陆地生态系统动态变化与空间变异的过程模型及模拟系统

A process-based model and simulation system of dynamic change and spatial variation in large-scale terrestrial ecosystems

当代生态系统科学研究更加关注区域生态环境及生态系统状态变化的监测、评估、预测、预警及生态环境可持续管理。在深入理解陆地生态系统的要素、过程、功能、格局及其相互作用机理基础上,发展生态系统定量化描述方法和数值模拟技术,集成构建大陆尺度的"多过程耦合-多技术集成-多目标应用"的陆地生态系统数值模拟器已成为生态系统与全球变化及其资源、环境和灾害效应科学研究的重要科技任务。本研究围绕宏观生态系统模拟分析方法问题,在回顾陆地生态系统模型研究现状和发展趋势的基础上,深入讨论开发大尺度陆地生态系统动态变化和空间变异及其资源环境效应模拟系统的理念,以及模拟系统的功能定位、结构设计等基本问题,为构造中国陆地生态系统数值模拟器提供参考。

More attention has been paid to the monitoring, assessment, prediction, early warning and sustainable management of regional ecological environment and the changes of ecosystem state in recent years. It is an important scientific and technological task to develop quantitative methods and numerical simulation techniques for ecosystem modelling, and to construct the continental scale numerical simulator with the characteristics of multi-process coupling, multi-technology integration, and multi-objective application for stimulating research on ecosystem and global change and its resources, environment and disaster effects, based on the in-depth understanding of the components, processes, functions, patterns, and their interaction mechanism of terrestrial ecosystem. Here, we reviewed the current status and future direction of terrestrial ecosystem models, and discussed the conceptual framework of developing the simulation system of dynamic change and spatial variation in large-scale terrestrial ecosystems and its resource and environment effect, as well as basic issues on the function orientation and structure design of the simulation system, which would provide reference for constructing Chinese terrestrial ecosystem numerical simulator.