台湾地区能源转型的困局

The Predicament of Taiwan’s Energy Transformation

2016年至今,台湾地区的能源转型乏善可陈,且与民进党当局设定的目标渐行渐远,表现为可再生能源装机及电网建设滞后、电力供应持续紧张和汽车电动化进展有限。从多行为体视角分析,造成困局的原因主要包括:台湾执政当局以"政治挂帅"思维主导转型决策,具体政策缺乏连贯性与实效性,台湾能源企业缺乏装备制造与安装、资金筹措等方面的能力,当地民众抵制可再生能源项目的开发,部分环保团体制造绿色冲突。解决台湾能源转型的根本之道,应是进一步推动两岸"应通尽通"、产业合作与电力联网。

From 2016, the energy transformation in Taiwan leads to few progresses, and it has gradually drifted away from the goals set by the DPP authorities. Renewable energy installation and grid construction are lagging behind, power supply continues to be tight, and progress in vehicle electrification is limited. From the multi-actor perspective, the reasons for the dilemma include: the Taiwan ruling authorities make energy decision with narrow political thinking;the specific policies are lack of coherence and effectiveness;Taiwan’s local enterprises lack the ability to manufacture and install equipment, raise funds, etc.;local people resist the development of renewable energy projects, and some environmental protection groups create green conflicts. The fundamental way to solve Taiwan’s predicament should be to strengthen cross-strait connectivity and promote industrial cooperation and power interconnection.