务农意愿对农户有机肥技术采纳行为的影响

The Influence of Willingness to Farm on Farmers’Adoption Behavior of Organic Fertilizer Technology

基于我国非农就业不断加深的现实背景,利用湖北省5个县(区)753份样本农户数据,通过倾向得分匹配法(PSM)进行实证,探讨了务农意愿对农户采纳有机肥技术的影响。研究表明:务农意愿对农户采纳有机肥技术有显著的激励作用,也即务农意愿越强的农户采纳有机肥技术的可能性越大。在具有务农意愿时,不同的规模调整预期也会导致农户有机肥技术采纳行为差异。有机肥技术采纳的概率会随着农户的预期规模缩小而降低,而预期规模增大时农户采纳有机肥技术的概率会增加。研究进一步发现,年龄较小、家庭收入较高、家庭劳动力较多、耕地面积较大的农户务农意愿对其采纳有机肥技术有显著的正向影响。因此,建议对农户进行差异化的技术培训和推广,优先考虑对相对规模种植户等主体进行有机肥推广应用。

Based on the realisty of deepening non-farm employment in China,the impact of willingness to farm on the farmers’adoption of organic fertilizer technology was explored empirically through the propensity score matching method(PSM),using data from 753 sample farmers in five counties(districts)in Hubei province.Results show that the willingness to farm has a significant incentive for farmers to adopt organic fertilizer technology,which infers that the higher of the willingness to farm,the more likely for farmers to adopt organic fertilizer technology.When it comes to the same level of the willingness to farm,there exist some differences in farmers’adoption behavior caused by scale adjustment expectations.The probability for the farmers’adoption of organic fertilizer technology will get down as the reduction of the scale adjustment expectations,and on the contrary,the probability will grow as the increase of the scale adjustment expectations.Study also reveals that there is a significant positive effect of willingness to farm on the adoption of organic fertilizer technology for younger farmers,those with higher household income,a larger household labour force and a larger area of arable land.Therefore,it is suggested that differentiated technical training and promotion should be carried out for farmers,and priority should be given to the promotion and application of organic fertilizer for relatively large-scale growers and other subjects.