“海丝”沿线国家物流绩效对中国出口贸易的影响

The Impact of Logistics Performance of Countries along the“Maritime Silk Road”on China’s Export Trade

世界银行的《物流绩效指数报告》显示,“海丝”沿线国家的物流绩效水平普遍较低,海关通关效率、物流基础设施水平、物流服务水平和追踪货物能力成为其主要制约因素。在传统引力模型的基础上,增加其他变量,实证分析物流绩效对我国出口“海丝”沿线国家的影响,研究发现,“海丝”沿线国家物流绩效总体及其六个分项指标水平均与我国对其出口贸易量呈正相关关系。“海丝”沿线国家应通过区域物流合作提高各国清关效率、贸易和运输基础设施质量、物流服务质量和追踪查询货物能力,构建“海丝”沿线各国命运共同体。

The world bank’s "The logistics performance index report" shows that the logistics performance level of countries along "The 21 st-Century Maritime Silk Road" are generally low, and customs clearance efficiency, logistics infrastructure level, logistics service level and cargo tracking ability become the main constraints. Based on the traditional gravity model, this paper adds other variables to empirically analyze the impact of logistics performance on China’s export to countries along "The 21 st-Century Maritime Silk Road". It is found that the overall logistics performance and its six sub indicators of countries along "The 21 st-Century Maritime Silk Road" are positively correlated with China’s export trade volume to them. Through regional logistics cooperation, countries along the "Maritime Silk Road" should improve the efficiency of customs clearance, the quality of trade and transportation infrastructure, the quality of logistics services and the ability to track and query goods so as to build a community of common destiny for countries along the "Maritime Silk Road".