RCEP签署与亚太区域经济一体化前景

Signing of RCEP and the Prospect of Economic Integration in the Asia-Pacific Region

在特朗普推行"美国优先"政策、中美博弈长期化、新冠肺炎疫情突发并肆虐全球、世界经济严重衰退的形势下,发展滞后的东亚及亚太区域经济一体化取得进展。继2018年3月亚太11国达成CPTPP后,2020年11月该地区15国签署了RCEP,"世界上涵盖人口最多、成员构成最多元化、发展最具活力"的自由贸易区即将建成,为亚太自贸区建设及区域经济一体化增添新动力。RCEP与CPTPP是目前亚太地区已成型的两大FTA,今后其如何发展演变,关涉未来亚太区域经济一体化进程与前景。追踪RCEP动向,分析其可能带来的经济效果、政治影响,尤其对亚太自贸区建设和区域经济一体化以及世界经济、政治格局的影响,具有重大意义。

Under the circumstances of Trump’s "America First" policy implemented,the long-term trend of game between China and the United States showed,the COVID-19 epidemic burst and ravaged the world,and the world economy has been severely recessed,significant progress has been made in the economic integration of the lagging East Asia and Asia-Pacific regions. Following the CPTPP reached by 11 Asia-Pacific countries in March 2018,15 countries in the region signed RCEP in November 2020. It means that "a free trade area with the largest population,the most diversified membership,and the most dynamic development in the world" will soon be established which will add new impetus to the promotion of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region. RCEP and CPTPP are two formed large-scale FTAs coexisting in the Asia-Pacific region currently,and how it evolves and develops under the new situation are related to the prospects of economic integration in the Asia-Pacific region. It is of great significance to track the trend of RCEP and analyze its possible economic effects and political influence,especially its impact on the economic integration of the AsiaPacific region and the world economic and political structure.