时空分异视角下我国体育产业演化特征及关联因素

Evolution characteristics and associated factors of sports industry evolution in China from the perspective ofspatial-temporal differentiation

以2006—2018年中国大陆31个省域(市区)体育产业为研究对象,采用空间关联分析法、标准差椭圆和灰色关联模型等分析我国体育产业时空演化特征、空间分异特征及关联因素。研究结果表明:全国体育产业上升态势明显,省域(市区)体育产业发展不均衡,但在空间上呈现显著正相关;体育产业演化具有明显的空间集聚性,呈现以江浙沪皖及邻近省为热点区域,以青甘川为中心的冷点区域及东北-西北-西南的环形随机分布区域;体育产业空间重心大致在116.4712°E~115.4904°E,31.2132°N~31.1007°N之间,标准差椭圆变化幅度不大,呈“南-北”格局,但有向“东北-西南”方向转变的趋势。关联因素实证研究表明,体育产业演化是由经济、政府、社会、产业、市场和科技等因素的共同作用结果。

Taking sports industry of 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)as the research object from 2006 to 2018,this paper makes a quantitative comprehensive research on the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics,spatial differentiation characteristics and associated factors in China by using the methods of spatial correlation analysis,standard deviational ellipse and grey relational model.The results show that the national sports industry is on the rise,provincial(municipalities and autonomous regions)sports industry development is not balanced,but its spatial positive correlation is significant;The sports industry evolution has obvious spatial agglomeration,it takes Jiangsu,Zhejiang,Shanghai,Anhui and neighboring provinces as the hot spots area,the cold spots area centers on Qinghai,Gansu and Sichuan,and the annular random distribution area is annular including the northeast-northwest-southwest region.The spatial gravity center of sports industry in different years was between 116.4712°E~115.4904°E,31.2132°N~31.1007°N,the standard deviational ellipse changes little,showing a pattern of“south-north”and tending to shift to the direction of“northeast-southwest”.The empirical study of associated factors shows that the sports industry evolution is driven by multiple factors,such as economy,government,society,industry,market and technology.