灰色马尔科夫预测模型在大学生转专业趋势中的应用

Application of Grey Markov Forecasting Model in the Trend of College Students'Changing Majors

为了更准确地预测大学生转专业趋势,滨海大学2016~2019年连续四年专业本科生转专业的数据为基础,通过数学方法将灰色预测模型和马尔科夫预测模型两种数学模型结合起来,建立灰色马尔科夫模型,预测该大学未来几年学生转专业情况,从而推测大学生转专业的趋势。对得出的数据分析大学生转专业现象的原因,并对此提出相关建议。

In order to more accurately predict the trend of college students'transfer of majors,Binhai University uses the data of four consecutive years of major undergraduate transfers from 2016 to 2019 as the basis,and combines the gray forecasting model and Markov forecasting model through mathematical methods.To establish a gray Markov model to predict the situation of students changing majors in the university in the next few years,so as to infer the trend of college students changing majors.This paper analyzes the reasons for the phenomenon of college students changing majors based on the data obtained,and it puts forward relevant suggestions on this.