世纪疫灾加速世界变局对中日关系的影响

World Changes Accelerated by the COVID-19 Pandemic and Their Impacts upon Sino-Japanese Relations

在“世界变局与中日关系”和“世界变局与世纪疫灾”两大互动框架下,分析世纪疫灾加速世界变局对中日关系的影响。中日关系从来都是在与世界变局的强烈互动中演变、发展的。世界变局遭遇世纪疫灾,主要变化趋向都因之而进一步加速,从而对刚刚于2019年6月开始推动形成的“契合新时代要求”的中日关系,产生了深广影响。其主要表现集中在四大层面:新兴市场群体加速崛起提供新机遇,大国实力对比加速调整带来新挑战,世界经济中心加速东移拓展新空间,全球治理体系加速变革引发新需求。

Under two interrelated themes of“world changes and Sino-Japanese relations”and“world changes and the COVID-19 pandemic”,this paper analyzes how the COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated worldchanges and impacted Sino-Japanese relations.When the world changes met the catastrophic pandemic of this century,their leading trends have been further accelerated,and profoundly impacted the new type of Sino-Japanese relations,which have just been promoted and formed“in accordance with needs of the New Era”since June 2019.These impacts are concentrated in four aspects:new opportunities provided by the rapid rise of emerging markets,new challenges posed by the sharply adjusting balance of major powers,new space of growth created by global economy moving eastward,and new demands sparked by the accelerating transformation of the global governance system.