长江经济带旅游产业—区域经济—生态环境系统空间错位及影响因素研究

Study on Spatial Mismatch and Influencing Factors of Tourism Industry-Regional Economy-Ecological Environment System in Yangtze River Economic Belt

基于2004-2018年面板数据,借助空间错位、均方差分解、冷热点分析、障碍度模型等方法探索长江经济带旅游产业—区域经济—生态环境系统空间错位指数时空演变特征及影响因素。研究表明:1)长江经济带旅游产业—区域经济—生态环境系统空间错位指数总体呈下降趋势,空间分布呈东部>中部>西部的格局,总体差异主要来源于三大地区间的差异;2)长江经济带冷热点时空演化总体呈“东集西散”的特征,东部地区集聚特征趋于弱化,中部集聚范围趋于扩张,西部较为稳定;3)长江经济带及各省市空间错位指数受多系统多因素影响,总体空间错位影响因素为生活垃圾清运量、一般工业固体废弃物年排放量、城镇登记失业率、森林覆盖率,多源于生态环境系统。最后,针对性地提出消解长江经济带空间错位态势的治理和发展性建议,一方面丰富和拓展了国内旅游空间错位领域的研究范畴和视角,另一方面为降低该区域发展过程中的错位程度以及促使旅游产业—区域经济—生态环境系统高质量发展提供了参考依据。

In this paper,the spatial-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of tourism industry-regional economy-ecological environment system spatial mismatch index of Yangtze River Economic Belt is explored with the help of methods such as spatial mismatch,mean square error decomposition,cold and hot spot analysis,and obstacle degree model based on the panel data from 2004 to 2018.It is found as follows.1)The spatial mismatch index of tourism industry-regional economy-ecological environment system in Yangtze River Economic Belt shows a trend of decreasing.The spatial mismatch index shows the distribution pattern of east region>central region>west region,and the overall spatial differences mainly come from the differences among East China,Central China and West China.2)The spatial and temporal evolution of cold and hot spots in Yangtze River Economic Belt is characterized by"gathering in the east region and dispersing in the west region",and the agglomeration characteristics in the east region tend to weaken,the agglomeration areas in the central region tend to expand,and agglomeration situation in the west region is relatively stable.3)The spatial mismatch index of tourism industry-regional economy-ecological environment system in Yangtze River Economic Belt is influenced by multiple factors.The influencing factors of spatial mismatch are mainly the clearance quantity of domestic waste,annual discharge of general industrial solid waste,unemployment rate of urban registration and forest coverage.The influencing factors of spatial mismatch for most provinces and cities belong to the ecological environment system.In the end,some suggestions for eliminating the spatial mismatch situation along Yangtze River Economic Belt are put forward.On the one hand,it has enriched and expanded the research scope and perspective of the domestic tourism space mismatch.On the other hand,it provides a powerful reference for the high-quality development of tourism industry-regional economy-ecological environment system in Yangtze River Economic Belt.