劳动力转移对农地转入与转出的影响——基于CFPS的微观调查

The influence of labor transfer on transfer-in and transfer-out of agricultural land——micro-investigation based on CFPS

从劳动力转移出发,研究其对农地转入方与转出方的影响,并利用中国家庭追踪调查数据(CFPS)进行验证。研究表明:劳动力转移对农地转入与转出均具有显著影响,其中对农地转入负向显著,对农地转出正向显著;劳动力转移对于土地转出的模型存在内生性问题,通过家庭最高学历作为工具变量来控制内生性,其CMP估计结果仍在统计上显著。并从有偿转出和大面积转入两个方面对模型进行了稳健性检验,其结果同样显著。从收入水平上进行异质性分析,发现中等收入者,土地流转最为活跃。

Originating from the labor transfer,this thesis studies influence between transfer-in and transfer-out of agricultural land,and verifies it by Chinese Family Panel Studies(CFPS).The research shows that labor transfer will obviously affect the transfer-in and transfer-out of agricultural land.In addition,the labor transfer also has endogenous impact on the model of land transfer.Such endogeneity can be controlled by the highest education level in families as a instrumental variable,and its CMP estimation is still be of statistical significance.There is a prudent test on the model from paid transfer-out,as well as large-area transfer-in,and both results are of equal importance.Furthermore,a heterogeneity analysis from income level reflects that land transfer is most active among middle-income earners.