土地流转、代际支持对农村老年人口贫困的影响--基于CHARLS的实证分析

Influence of Land Circulation and Intergenerational Support On Poverty of Rural Elderly Population: Empirical Research Based on CHARLS

基于2018年中国老龄人口健康状况调查数据(CHARLS),结合Logistic回归模型,分析土地流转、子女代际支持对农村老年群体贫困的影响机制。结果表明,土地流转量的增加使农村老人致贫率达33.4%,且影响结果显著,土地流转收入致贫率达16%,子女提供物品支持对农村老年人口具有显著减贫作用。政府可从强化家庭保障基础、关注农村老人土地流转后的社会保障水平、生计问题等方面制定相关政策,以避免土地流转对农村老人“以地养老”造成冲击,使其陷入贫困。

Based on the data of China’s elderly population health survey(CHARLS)in 2018,combined with logistic regression model,the impact mechanism of land transfer and intergenerational support of children on rural elderly poverty was analyzed.The results show that the increase of the amount of land transfer can make the poverty rate of the rural elderly reach 33.4%,and the impact is significant.The poverty rate of the income from land transfer is 16%.The provision of goods support by children has a significant role in poverty reduction of the rural elderly.In order to avoid the impact of land transfer on the rural elderly’s“land for pension”,the government should strengthen the basis of family security,pay attention to the social security level and livelihood problems of the rural elderly after land transfer,so as to prevent the rural elderly from falling into poverty.