空中交通拥挤理论与模型研究

由容流不匹配导致的空中交通拥挤现象日益突出,对空中交通拥挤方面的研究具有重要意义。文章研究了在拥挤识别方面采取的时间序列法,并总结了先前的识别方法,然后研究了当前四种关于空中交通流量拥挤预测的方法,并采用了基于飞行计划确定性流量的加权法模型对空中交通流进行建模。

The phenomenon of air traffic crowding caused by capacity mismatch is becoming increasingly prominent,which is of great significance to the research of air traffic congestion.This paper studies the time series method adopted in crowding identification,summarizes the previous identification methods,and then studies four current methods for air traffic flow crowding prediction.The weighting model based on the deterministic flow of flight plan is used to model the air traffic flow.