产业结构变迁与经济增长

Industrial Structure Change and Economic Growth

从产业结构的合理化、升级化两个方面刻画了中国产业结构2000-2019年的变迁,并在此基础上构建了产业结构变迁对经济增长影响的固定效应面板模型。研究结果表明:产业结构的合理性及升级性均对经济增长有促进作用,且这种促进作用呈现除了区域特征。东部地区产业结构更为合理,且其服务业的发展具有最大的优势,更有利于促进经济的高质量增长,因此,产业政策的制定因结合区域特征,高效合理地推进中国的产业结构变迁,促进经济的高质量增长。

This paper describes the changes of China’s industrial structure from 2000 to 2019 from the two aspects of rationalization and upgrading of industrial structure,and constructs a fixed effect panel model of the impact of industrial structure changes on economic growth.The results show that the rationality and upgrading of industrial structure can promote economic growth,and this promotion has regional characteristics.The industrial structure of the eastern region is more reasonable,and the development of its service industry has the greatest advantage,which is more conducive to promoting high-quality economic growth.Therefore,when formulating relevant industrial structure development policies,the government should adjust measures to local conditions,consider the differences in factor endowments between regions,formulate differentiated industrial development policies,effectively and reasonably promote the change of China’s industrial structure and promote high-quality economic growth.