河南省耕地流转的区域差异及其影响因素分析

Analysis of Regional Differences and Influencing Factors of Farmland Circulation in Henan Province

利用河南省大规模农户调查数据,揭示河南省耕地流转的区域差异,并采用Logistic回归模型识别耕地流转区域差异的影响因素。结果表明:①河南省耕地流转发生率呈上升趋势,西南部及南部山地丘陵区耕地流转发生率高于豫东和豫北平原地区。山地丘陵区耕地流转的规模、效率和综合指数总体上大于平原地区,效率指数尤为突出。②家庭成员外出务工、非农收入高、户主健康状况好有利于耕地转出,户主年龄大、距县(市)区较远的农户倾向于转入耕地,发达的本地乡镇企业会促进兼业生产但抑制耕地流转。③不同地形区耕地流转影响因素存在一定差异。平原区留守老人在耕地流转中发挥重要作用,山地丘陵区地租普遍较低有利于耕地流转,但对更多劳动力的刚性需求影响了农户的转入意愿。

Based on the analysis of large-scale household survey data in Henan Province,this paper revealed the regional differences in land circulation and used logistic regression model to identify the influencing factors of cultivated land transfer in Henan Province.The results show:①The incidence of cultivated land turnover in Henan Province is on the rise.The incidence of cultivated land turnover in the southwest and southern mountainous and hilly areas is higher than that in the eastern and northern Henan plains.The scale,efficiency and comprehensive index of mountainous and hilly areas are generally larger than those of plain areas,and the efficiency index is particularly prominent.②Family members go out for work,high non-agricultural income,and good health of the head of the household are conducive to the transfer of cultivated land.Farmers whose household heads are older and far from the county district tend to transfer to cultivated land;Developed local township and village enterprises will promote part-time production but inhibit the transfer of cultivated land.③There are certain differences in the factors affecting the circulation of cultivated land in different terrain areas.The left-behind elderly in the plains play an important role in the transfer of cultivated land.The low land rent in mountainous and hilly areas is generally beneficial to the transfer of cultivated land,but the rigid demand for more labor affects the willingness of farmers to transfer.