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国际原油价格日际波动幅度实证研究及建议

Empirical study on the inter-day fluctuating range of international crude oil price and suggestions
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摘要 国际原油价格日际波动幅度是分析和把控国际原油市场交易的一个有效指标。国际原油价格日际波动幅度具有内在的稳定性,不仅能够反映出国际原油价格水平超短期波动隐含着较高的风险,还能够为判断国际油价在较长时间跨度(月际)甚至中长期(年际)的走势(包括变动幅度和涨跌方向)提供有价值的信息线索,从而帮助提升国际原油市场交易效果。 The inter-day fluctuating range of international crude oil price is an effective index to analyze and control the international crude oil market trading.With the inherent stability,the fluctuating range will not only reflect the international crude oil price level super high risk hidden in short-term fluctuations,also be able to provide valuable information for determining the international oil prices over a longer time span(monthly)and long-term(annually)of the ups and downs fluctuation amplitude and direction,so as to help promote the international crude oil market trading significance.
作者 郭庆方 于嘉铭 GUO Qingfang;YU Jiaming(School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum-Beijing)
出处 《国际石油经济》 2021年第9期93-98,共6页 International Petroleum Economics
关键词 国际原油价格 日际价格波动幅度 交易效果 international crude oil price inter-day fluctuating range of price trading significance
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