民航运输与区域经济增长的动态关系——以北京市为例

The Dynamic Relationship between Civil Aviation Transportation and Regional Economic Growth Based:In the Case of Beijing

随着航空运输的重要性不断显现,更多目光聚焦于航空运输与区域经济之间的互动关系。本文构建VAR模型,通过脉冲响应与方差分解,分析北京市航空运输与区域经济增长之间的关系。通过研究发现,短期内航空运输对区域经济增长的贡献呈下降趋势;但从长期来看,航空运输与区域经济之间具有良好互动关系,航空运输与区域经济之间的关系已进入新阶段。

As the importance of air transportation continues to emerge,more attention has been focused on the interactive relationship between air transportation and the regional economy.This paper constructs a VAR model and analyzes the relationship between Beijing’s air transportation and regional economic growth through impulse response and variance decomposition.Through research,it is found that the contribution of air transportation to regional economic growth is declining in the short term;but in the long term,there is a good interaction between air transportation and regional economy,and the relationship between air transportation and regional economy has entered a new stage.