文在寅政府对华政策立场动摇剖析

Analysis of the Moon Jae-in Administration’s Wavering Stance on China Policy

中韩自1992年8月24日建交以来,两国友好合作关系在各个领域都取得快速发展。但2021年5月下旬,韩美总统发表联合声明,多处内容直接或间接指向中国。特别是联合声明首次公开提及台湾问题,这也是中韩建交以来的第一次。与此前在中美之间保持"战略模糊"相比,文在寅政府的对华政策立场出现明显动摇。出现这一变化是多重因素所致,总的来看是美国施压,以及韩国政府的利益需求、对华认知与政治盘算共同作用的结果。2022年是中韩建交30周年,也将迎来新一届韩国政府,中韩关系面临深化发展的重要机遇,两国关系将进入新的发展阶段。因此,在中美战略竞争日趋激烈的大背景下,韩国政府须保持战略清醒,同时中韩两国宜加强战略沟通,释疑增信;两国民众宜进一步加强交流,消除隔阂,从而深化并确保中韩战略合作伙伴关系行稳致远。

In late May 2021,the presidents of South Korea and the United States issued a joint statement,and much of its content is directly or indirectly directed to China.In particular,it publicly mentioned the Taiwan question for the first time,which is also the first time since China and the ROK established diplomatic ties.Compared with its previous stance of"strategic ambiguity"between China and the U.S.,the Moon Jae-in administration’s China policy has been shaken.Such a change has derived from multiple factors.On the whole,American pressure on the ROK,interest appeals of the South Korean government,its cognition of China and its political calculations have jointly contributed to the change.The year of 2022 marks the 30 th anniversary of China-ROK diplomatic ties,and it will also witness the birth of a new South Korean administration,which provides an important opportunity for China and the ROK to deepen their relations.