摘要
以杭州市2010—2020年商品房均价的相关数据为基础构建GM(1,1)模型。GM(1,1)模型预测准确度比较高,通常用该模型对房价进行中短期预测分析,通过利用此模型对杭州市2021—2025年的房价走势进行了预测。
The GM(1,1)model is constructed based on the relevant data of the average price of commercial housing in Hangzhou from 2010 to 2020.The GM(1,1)model has a relatively high prediction accuracy,and the model can be used to perform short-and medium-term forecast analysis on house prices,and accordingly,the housing price trend of Hangzhou in 2021—2025 can be predicted.
作者
杨环
YANG Huan(School of Economics and Management,Anhui Jianzhu University,Hefei 230601,China)
出处
《南阳理工学院学报》
2021年第4期15-19,共5页
Journal of Nanyang Institute of Technology
基金
安徽省高校人文社科重点项目(SK2017A0551)。
关键词
杭州市
GM(1
1)模型
房价中短期预测
Hangzhou city
GM(1,1)model
Short and medium term prediction of house price